Casey has made five consecutive Pro Bowls, but the Titans were willing to cut him this offseason before trading him for a seventh-round pick, which also seems telling about where they saw his future. Jimmy Smith's peak was among the best ever. Smith needs a similar sort of run over the next few years to have a shot. Panthers impressed by Derek Carr visit DeCastro has five consecutive Pro Bowl appearances and two All-Pro nods; if Faneca can't get in with nine consecutive Pro Bowl appearances and five All-Pro shots, DeCastro still has a lot of work to do. These three Pats legends are more likely to land in the Hall of Very Good. An interesting case could be made for Frank Gore, who is third all-time in rushing with 16,000 yards in a 16-season career with five teams, but tied for 19th in touchdowns with 81. That wide receiver is Detroit Lions great Calvin Johnson. He just turned 26 in August. Watson has earned Pro Bowl nods in each of his first two full seasons as a starter, which is easier for quarterbacks than it is for most other positions. Last season, Thomas became the second wide receiver to win Offensive Player of the Year. While the wide receiver logjam is a disaster for Hall of Fame voters, Moss should present a no-brainer case one day as a first-ballot choice. Whether Johnson will be there to welcome Watt into the Hall of Fame will be interesting. At the same time, Green has missed 23 games over the past two years with injuries. Work to do (10% to 39%): WR Mike Evans, WR Chris Godwin, LB Lavonte David. Nelson is one of seven players to start his career with two consecutive first-team All-Pro nods, a group that includes four Hall of Famers, Devin Hester and Keith Jackson. Work to do (10% to 39%): TE Jimmy Graham, CB Kyle Fuller. If pro football did what hockey used to and waive the waiting period for the likes of Gordie Howe, Wayne Gretzky and Mario Lemieux, it could be argued Brady deserves the same treatment. The Cowboys are blessed with two linemen bound for Canton. Jalen and Reggie Wayne connected while he was in college, and his uncle has helped him every step of the way since. Let's run team-by-team and try to estimate each notable player's chances of making it to the Hall of Fame given his current rsum. Unlike Gurley, McCaffrey didn't win Offensive Player of the Year or make a deep playoff run. Things would be different if he had actually won the MVP award or been the quarterback who ran the Eagles through the playoffs in 2017. Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) November 4, 2019. You can't make the Hall of Fame while you're still in pads, but Mike Evans has been making his case over the past six seasons. Ryan's case is trickier. Mack is entering what is likely to be his final season with the Falcons. Vander Esch's chances are stronger than his fellow linebacker because he was a first-round pick and made the Pro Bowl as a rookie, while Smith was a second-round pick and didn't make it until his third campaign. Since there have been only 346 people elected to the Hall of Fame (some of whom aren't even players), we don't always have great measures or estimates for what players at each given position have to do to make it. He turned 32 on Friday, and while there could be more left in the tank, he probably needs another Pro Bowl season or two to ensure he makes it. Whitworth was criminally underrated during his time in Cincinnati, earning just one Pro Bowl nod during his first nine seasons with the Bengals. The Pro Football Reference Hall of Fame Monitor (HOFm) is a metric designed to estimate a player's chances of making the Pro Football Hall of Fame using AV, Pro Bowls, All-Pros, championships, and various stat milestones. He doesn't need that sort of individual production to make it to the Hall of Fame, but the guys who made it in without a single first-team All-Pro appearance needed something else. Its rattlesnake season in Texas. Do you have a sports website? There are four notable first-time eligibles on this ballot: running back Adrian Peterson, tight end Rob Gronkowski, quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and wide receiver Antonio Brown. Only Campbell is in the Hall of Fame. He probably needs to keep that streak going for a couple more years or rack up another 15-sack campaign to move the needle to Likely. Work to do (10% to 39%): OT Andrew Thomas. Likely (70% to 99%): WR DeAndre Hopkins, CB Patrick Peterson. To use an example, I don't think Eli Manning has the rsum of a Hall of Fame quarterback, but history tells us that most quarterbacks who win two Super Bowls typically get in. I'd like to see a bigger sample before I treat that rate as gospel, and players such as DeAngelo Hall and Everson Walls had long careers without making it to the Hall, but Lattimore is off to a promising start. Seymour made it to seven Pro Bowls and three All-Pro teams and hasn't made it to the Hall of Fame, but Thomas was more conspicuous at safety and was a key member of a legendary defense. Work to do (10% to 39%): RB Melvin Gordon, DE Jurrell Casey. The Cal product has five Pro Bowls and a first-team All-Pro appearance through his age-30 season. Lock (100%): DE J.J. Watt. Here's everything we know, Richardson sets QB mark for vertical, broad jump, QB Young 5-10 1/8, 204 pounds at NFL combine, Sources: Patriots tell QB Hoyer he's being cut, Horns' Robinson: Versatility worthy of early pick, Jones: Not fixated on Cowboys' drought, just '23, Sources: Raiders plan franchise tag for Jacobs, WR Addison to Steelers' Pickett: 'Come get me', Wolverines' Turner wows with 4.26 40 at combine, Everything you need to know about Geno Smith's contract negotiations. Future Hall of Fame wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald, though, has a different team in mind for Rodgers. He isn't going to catch Jerry Rice, but he's just under 5,000 yards behind Larry Fitzgerald, who ranks second in career receiving yards. Likely (70% to 99%): CB Richard Sherman. Or write about sports? Evans is just one of four NFL players ever to have 1,000 yards receiving as a 21-year-old rookie. Three different Cowboys defenders make this list, and you could make a case for Jaylon Smith, too. Making sense of Mahomes' deal Edelman's career as a starter really didn't begin until he was 27, so while his case is built on postseason performance, I still don't think he has the regular-season production needed to supplement a case. What happens next is critical for Gurley, who would have seemed on the road to Canton after taking home Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2015 and adding an Offensive Player of the Year award two years later. The list of players who have done that isn't long, as it consists of Lawrence Taylor, Barry Sanders, Emmitt Smith, Patrick Willis, Aaron Donald and Martin. Both are locks for election. Tight ends have relatively short careers, which makes projecting their Hall chances exceedingly difficult. In the running (40% to 69%): QB Deshaun Watson. His time may come, but maybe not for a while. 19 Won't: Maurice Jones-Drew At the same time, no tight end in history has more than four 1,000-yard seasons over their respective careers, and Kelce has just run off four consecutive 1,000-yard campaigns. Around the NFL Writer. Its not at all random that hes become a big-time NFL player. Moving to a higher-profile, more successful team will help Ramsey's chances of drawing national attention, although he wasn't close to Stephon Gilmore or Tre'Davious White a year ago. Hall of Fame Wide Receivers. You could also make the argument that Murray should be up a level after being taken with the No. The Saints have the best tackle combination in football, but Armstead went underappreciated before picking up steam over the past couple of years and Ramczyk raised his game in 2019. A score of 100 is around the average modern-era inductee. First, its hard for young guys to adapt to the NFL. ln the running (40% to 69%): RB Alvin Kamara, DE Cameron Jordan, CB Marshon Lattimore. Aaron Rodgers has had a lack of weapons on the Green Bay Packers The suspension hurts Peterson's chances, but with eight Pro Bowls and three All-Pro appearances across his first eight seasons, his prior track record was impeccable. Gilmore wasn't on track to become a Hall of Famer before he joined the Patriots, having made one Pro Bowl across his first five seasons in Buffalo, but he has made back-to-back first-team All-Pro teams and then won Defensive Player of the Year last season. He is a graduate of Southwest Texas State University and Bowie High School in Austin. In the running (40% to 69%): OT Trent Williams. The NFL's 2023 Hall of Fame Game will feature the Cleveland Browns and New York Jets, the Hall announced Tuesday. Sanders started 16 regular season games at cornerback and another eight at wide receiver - becoming the first two-way starter in the NFL since the Philadelphia Eagles Chuck Bednarik, who retired in 1962. Both players are on a streak, and their chances depend on keeping that streak going. Bell's case as a scheme- and personnel-transcendent back fell apart in an ugly 2019 season, with the former Steelers playmaker averaging just 3.2 yards per carry. Most importantly: This is my opinion of who is likely to get in given current rsums, not who belongs in. Locks have a 100% chance of making it. Likely (70% to 99%): TE Rob Gronkowski. Reggie Wayne, a Senior Bowl Hall of Famer, prepped Jalen Wayne for what to . Likely (70% to 99%): WR Michael Thomas. Brees could have retired five years ago and comfortably made the Hall of Fame. will Evans play and how productive will he be? Membership Foundation Corporate Partners Artifact Donations Commemorative Brick . Unless he really hangs on into his 40s, he'll finish as the second-most-productive tight end in history, behind Tony Gonzalez. Rent the Hall. Likely (70% to 99%): OT Jason Peters. With five consecutive first-team All-Pro appearances, he could retire tomorrow and get in without any questions. Of the 16 Hall-eligible first-rounders who were first-team All-Pros as rookies, nine are enshrined. I think Rivers probably gets in, but it might take a while. We present them here for purely educational purposes. Okudah's presence owes to his draft status as the No. With the onset of COVID, the Pro Football Hall of Fame last year moved its annual board-of-selectors meeting from an in-person session the day before the Super Bowl to a virtual communication . (1:43), Barnwell: Projecting future Hall of Famers for all 32 NFL teams, The future of the NFL combine: Is there really a chance it could end forever? If you want to know why people are excited about the Cowboys' offense in 2020, consider that they could have as many as five future Hall of Famers lining up when everyone's healthy. Every two-time winner got in easily, so while Watt might not have the longevity he hoped for, the Houston icon could retire tomorrow and get in. But as a running back who has been above average or good seemingly forever, he's getting in. As he turns 30 in September, Gilmore probably needs at least two more seasons in which he has a credible case as the best cornerback in football -- or a really long peak. Just nine tight ends are enshrined, and Kelce's game leans more toward receiving than any of them. Since the merger, 11 offensive linemen have been named a first-team All-Pro in four consecutive seasons, and nine of them are in the Hall of Fame. 4 overall pick will start his career at left tackle after Nate Solder opted out of this season. I've split players into four groups. Like Campbell, Heyward didn't earn widespread notoriety until he was approaching 30, with the Steelers star becoming a first-team All-Pro and Pro Bowler for the first time in his seventh season. While Witten, 38, is years removed from his peak, he's going to finish his career with 11 Pro Bowl appearances and two first-team All-Pro nods. Charley Taylor. Warren Moon played until he was 44. Roethlisberger won two Super Bowls with the Steelers and spent 18 seasons as Pittsburghs starter. After missing the postseason for the first time in four years, the Green Bay Packers will now spend their offseason with one topic at the forefront of their internal conversations: the future of Aaron Rodgers. I'll do a little bit of projecting here and there, given historical aging curves and what we know about each player's injury history, but this is almost entirely about what each player has done so far. James Harrison was a backup for four seasons, started regularly for the first time at 29, and probably won't make the Hall of Fame despite a pretty spectacular peak. It's not too late to play with friends and family. Heres the top 10 in NFL and AFL history in receiving yardage through 85 games. Pro Football Reference's Hall of Fame monitor ranks Edelman 110th among wide receivers, and that gives him credit for winning three Super Bowls. Edelman has never made a Pro Bowl, but the only . I mentioned the math for quarterbacks in the Bengals section; in Garrett's case, four of 26 non-QBs taken with the first overall pick since the merger have made it to the Hall. Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, Picking the top bounce-back candidates for all 32 NFL teams, Football historians talk about the game in a previous pandemic, Ranking the NFL's top 25 prospects: Young players who could break out in 2020, last attempted something like this column in June 2016, 42.6% of voters thought Rivers was a Hall of Famer, honor his request and trade the 25-year-old, trading a first-rounder to the Bills in 2009. Carmichael was one of the best wide receivers of his era. Leonard, with one All-Pro spot and a Pro Bowl appearance last year, is right behind. I polled my Twitter followers and found that 42.6% of voters thought Rivers was a Hall of Famer. Seymour has a better rsum and more Super Bowl rings and hasn't made it in, but he peaked earlier in his career; if Campbell can stay productive and win a ring or two with the Ravens, it might push him into more significant consideration. He shared a receivers room with four Hall-of-Famers and caught balls from a pair of Hall-of-Fame quarterbacks in Peyton Manning and Kurt Warner while playing in eight post-season games . As it stands, though, Gurley doesn't have enough on his rsum to get in. podcast, future Hall of Fame wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald, aware of the Raiders and Jets being interested in trading for the always-grumbling MVP. Tony Kornheiser and Michael Wilbon both expect Frank Gore to get into the Pro Football Hall of Fame, but do not see him as a lock to get into Canton. Please see our Contributors and Sources page for data source details. So maybe the best thing for Johnson and Texans fans is to be patient. Buckner made the Pro Bowl in 2018, but he was otherwise underappreciated during his four seasons in the Bay Area. As good as third-year receiver Chris Godwin has been for the Bucs this season, its hard to say that hes anything more than the Anquan Boldin to Evans Fitz. Julio or Hopkins: Who's the better bet to lead in receiving? The former Panthers quarterback has two other Pro Bowl nods besides that 2015 season, although he hasn't received a nomination since. Wagner turned 30 in June, and after eight seasons in the league, he has six Pro Bowl appearances and five first-team All-Pro nominations. Many of the modern-era players to whom hes statistically comparable played well into their 30s. While Pro Bowls and All-Pro awards are hardly gospel, they're the best measure we have of how league observers valued a particular player in his time. Will OBJ defy his long-shot odds to lead NFL in receiving yards? Williams made seven consecutive Pro Bowls before sitting out the 2019 season and forcing a trade to the 49ers. Heyward reminds me a lot of Campbell; they're prototypical five-technique ends who upped their pass-rushing performance when given more opportunities to get after the quarterback. What makes Evans production especially impressive is that he entered the league at such a young age. 1 with seven receiving touchdowns as well as 1,407 air yards and yards after the catch combined (perAirYards.com). When: 1999-2004 These two probably had the greatest four-year stretch in NFL history. Get started >>. Adams has two Pro Bowls and an All-Pro nod across his first three seasons, putting him in a group with safeties such as Kenny Easley, Steve Atwater, Ed Reed and Troy Polamalu. In the running (40% to 69%): QB Philip Rivers, G Quenton Nelson, LB Darius Leonard. 2 pick was a four-time Pro Bowler and a three-time All-Pro during his five seasons in Detroit. Jones is likely to top 13,000 receiving yards and earn his eighth Pro Bowl nod this season, which should be enough to seal things for the superstar wideout. Watt's last name and presence on a high-profile defense won't hurt. How Antonio Brown is hurting his Hall of Fame future, and what the volatile wide receiver needs to do to fix it Brown's continued off-field distractions have cast doubt on when -- and if -- he . In fact, a future Hall of Fame wide receiver recently revealed that Rodgers tried to recruit him over to the Packers. Suggs logged 139 sacks, good for eighth all-time. All rights reserved. Longtime teammate Jeff Bagwell, meanwhile, had to wait until his seventh year on the ballot before gaining enshrinement to Cooperstown. Elroy 'Crazylegs' Hirsch, future Hall of Fame wide receiver, led the best draft class in Rams history in 1945. Pro Football WR Hall of Fame Monitor The Pro Football Reference Hall of Fame Monitor (HOFm) is a metric designed to estimate a player's chances of making the Pro Football Hall of Fame using AV, Pro Bowls, All-Pros, championships, and various stat milestones. In the running (40% to 69%): C Jason Kelce, DT Fletcher Cox. As I mentioned with Prescott, Barkley's Offensive Rookie of the Year nod gets him in this category alone. All but. Instead, legendary players and coaches like Troy Polamalu and Jimmy Johnson will wait until next year to give their speeches in Canton, Ohio. He figures to have a strong case for first-ballot election. His peak is Hall of Fame-worthy -- he has two of the three best seasons in fantasy football history by a tight end -- but it lasted only four seasons. Unless he turns things around dramatically this season, he would fall out of the "Work to do" category altogether. That's three Hall of Famers, two locks, and Martin, who would be a lock if the Hall valued interior linemen. The former star wide receiver on Thursday was not elected in his second time as a modern-era finalist in as many years of eligibility. Hekker got a two-season head start, but he has been a first-team All-Pro four times before turning 30 in February. Randy Moss. Kamara took a step backward last season when he ran into some touchdown regression, but he still did enough to earn his third Pro Bowl appearance in three years. If that seems surprising after what he accomplished last season, remember that it was his first season with either a Pro Bowl or an All-Pro nod. He has stayed healthy and productive, so that hasn't been the issue. Pouncey fits that magic 8+2 formula I mentioned earlier with regard to Atkins, and at 31, he should still have a couple more Pro Bowls in him. The Ring of Honor recognizes Vikings legends for their contributions to the success of the team on and off the field. Mahomes' rsum -- a league MVP and Super Bowl MVP -- is usually enough to get a player into the Hall of Fame, let alone doing it over two seasons as a starter. Scouting reports | More draft coverage. The others are Moss, Keenan Allen and Amari Cooper. you might say Moss, Larry Fitzgerald and DeAndre Hopkins. McCaffrey could turn into LaDainian Tomlinson, but what if he's more like Shaun Alexander, who won league MVP at his peak and never really got serious Hall of Fame consideration? He also came up with an interception while winning his first Super Bowl, which helps his case. Adam Vinatieri will eventually join Jan Stenerud and Morten Andersen, but those guys averaged 22 seasons in the league. Wilson is somewhere in the 90% range. Dan Orlovsky denounces the NFL Network's Top 100 players for 2020 for excluding Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz. On Saturday night, Eagles star Harold Carmichael and Rams star Isaac Bruce were inducted as part of a . Pro Football Hall of Fame Hall of Fame Village. They both need multiple All-Pro seasons before they can rise up the ranks. Finish reading this entire article absolutely FREE in our app. Where does Evans slot in? Gore isn't quite a lock because he has never been a first-team All-Pro or won a Super Bowl, and he has only one top-five finish in a rushing title race (third in 2006). Six players have done that since the merger: Murray, Cam Newton, Sam Bradford, George Rogers, Billy Sims and Earl Campbell. Like Hill, if Kelce gets three more seasons with Mahomes, I think he's a Hall of Famer. Last season was the first time Peterson missed an NFL game or failed to make the Pro Bowl, with both owing to his six-game PED suspension. XFL Week 3 preview: Can AJ McCarron, Battlehawks continue their fourth-quarter heroics? Typically, there are between 45 and 50 Hall of Famers playing at any one time. In the running (40% to 69%): DE Joey Bosa, S Derwin James. Larry Fitzgerald won't be suiting up for the Arizona Cardinals for the start of the season, but the future Hall of Fame wide receiver stopped just short Friday of announcing his retirement. DT | LB | CB | Safety Evans was a big-time NFL prospect. In the running (40% to 69%): WR Odell Beckham Jr., WR Jarvis Landry. Vinatieri is arguably the greatest clutch kicker in NFL history, twice making last-second field goals to win Super Bowls and also making another famous kick in the Tuck Rule game that helped launch New Englands dynasty. A candidate must get 80 percent of the vote to be elected. In my Week 10 WR/CB matchups piece, I highlight the upcoming matchup between Evans and Cardinals cornerback Patrick Peterson and say that we might be seeing two Canton-bound players go at each other in a one-on-one heavyweight matchup.. Work to do (10% to 39%): WR JuJu Smith-Schuster, G David DeCastro, DE Cameron Heyward, S Minkah Fitzpatrick. Everyone but Hill is either a lock or extremely likely to make it in. Troy Aikman, John Elway and Roger Staubach won multiple Super Bowls. With Anthony Harris hoovering up interceptions and Jamal Adams and Minkah Fitzpatrick emerging, 31-year-old Smith probably needs to earn that nod in the next year or two. He also has worked at the Austin American-Statesman and Temple Daily Telegram. Texans great Andre Johnson fell short of election to the Hall of Fame again this year in his second time as a modern-era finalist. If you think this is too early for the 2019 seventh overall pick, think again. It was a good weekend for wide receivers at the Pro Football Hall of Fame in Canton, Ohio. From 2015 to 2019, his numbers are virtually identical to those of Eric Ebron. He had a wasted 2019 season, as he went down with a high ankle sprain in Week 3 and averaged 3.2 yards per carry over his next seven games after returning, but 2020 should see Barkley return to form. A portion of ticket purchases is a tax-deductible charitable donation to the Museum . 2 with 6,103 yards. In Week 9, he led the league with 180 yards receiving, and for the year, hes No. Logos were compiled by the amazing SportsLogos.net. He rarely gets the public attention he deserves, but the Pro Bowl voters haven't ignored the interior disruptor, who has earned eight Pro Bowl nods and a pair of first-team All-Pro votes. Evans is on pace to join Randy Moss as the only other player in NFL history to open his career with six consecutive 1,000-yard receiving campaigns. If Evans goes his entire career without gaining widespread notoriety or making a memorable run in the playoffs even if he has a long and steadily productive career and is regarded as one of the top receivers of his generation his chances to make the Hall of Fame will be materially diminished. If his career lasts only six or seven seasons, though, he'll have to be a perennial All-Pro to make it to Canton. Jets, Browns tapped for 2023 NFL Hall of Fame Game originally appeared on NBC Sports Chicago. He made it to four Pro Bowls in his first five seasons with the Ravens, and while that's the sort of production we associate with Hall of Famers, he wasn't able to earn a first-team All-Pro nod over that stretch. NE | NO | NYG | NYJ | PHI | PIT | SF The only thing Pouncey is missing is a Super Bowl appearance. In one of Coach Saban's press conferences, he spoke about some of the questions asked by the players to . His PFR Hall of Fame score of 94.2 ranks ahead of several wide receivers already in the Hall of Fame, including Michael Irvin, Art Monk, Andre Reed and Lynn Swann.
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